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While he may try to play with a hyperextended elbow, he likely won’t be at full strength. Gary, who leads the team in sacks, ranks in the top five in QB pressures and hits among edge rushers. Already without star cornerback Jaire Alexander and stud edge rusher Z’Darius Smith, Green Bay just lost Whitney Mercilus for the season and could also be without Rashan Gary. That said, this shorthanded defense has played over its head, especially considering the injury situation. The growth of this unit under new defensive coordinator Joe Barry has to excite Packers fans about this team’s ceiling. On the other side, the Packers defense has played at an elite level over the past month. Green Bay also has injuries along the offensive line. After already losing tight end Robert Tonyan to injury, they won’t have Aaron Jones this week. This also isn’t the same potent Packers offense we’ve become accustomed to seeing in recent years. This unit should also have a much cleaner bill of health this week with the expected return of star safety Harrison Smith in addition to the potential returns of Anthony Barr and Patrick Peterson. Minnesota’s defense ranks inside the top 10 of Football Outsiders’ DVOA, as well as Expected Points Added (EPA) per play. This year’s version is the norm under Zimmer. That unit suffered an unimaginable amount of personnel losses due to COVID and injuries. However, last year’s Vikings defense was the exception to the rule under Mike Zimmer. Look no further than the five touchdowns he scored against them last season. That includes a robust 108.3 passer rating - the highest of any opposing quarterback against the Vikings with a minimum of 200 attempts.ĭavante Adams has also feasted on the Vikings in the past. Including the postseason, he has 51 touchdowns and just seven interceptions in 25 games against them. Stuckey: I will start out by saying Aaron Rodgers has owned the Vikings. The Browns are more than willing to stick to a run-heavy game plan and win a low-scoring 21-10 type of game. I’m projecting this closer to 40.5, and even that may be a bit too high considering I’m not sure how the Lions will score 14+ points. He’s failed to impress in limited preseason action as well. He had a 1:13 TD:INT ratio in three years of Division I college football, then posted an 11:13 ratio as a senior in Division II. It’s a bit of a mystery as to how he’s become a starting QB in the NFL. Tim Boyle likely making his first career start makes the under an even more attractive play this week. Therefore you have a team that keeps the clock running AND struggles to score points (haven’t scored 20+ points since Week 1). It makes sense considering they run the ball at the third-highest rate in neutral situations, and Jared Goff’s aDot (6.2) is the lowest of all qualified QBs. Sean Koerner: The Lions have been an under machine of late, as the under has gone 6-1 in their past seven games.
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